Integrated Modeling for Road Condition Prediction — Phase 3 Evaluation Report

1. Report No.

2. Government Accession No.

3. Recipient's Catalog No.

4. Title and Subtitle

Integrated Modeling for Road Condition Prediction – Phase 3 Evaluation Report

5. Report Date

December 2020

6. Performing Organization Code

7. Author(s)

Robert Sanchez, Michelle Neuner, Tracy Gonzalez

8. Performing Organization Report No.

9. Performing Organization Name and Address

Leidos
11251 Roger Bacon Dr.
Reston, VA 20190

10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS)

11. Contract or Grant No.

DTFH61-16-D-00053L, Task 693JJ318F000084

12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address

United States Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
Washington, DC 20590

13. Type of Report and Period Covered

Evaluation Report
3/26/2018–9/25/2020

14. Sponsoring Agency Code

15. Supplementary Notes

Road Weather Management Program; the government’s task order manager: Jawad Paracha

16. Abstract

The Integrated Modeling for Road Condition Prediction (IMRCP) is a prototype system and demonstration deployment that provides a framework for the integration of road condition monitoring and forecast data to support decisions by travelers, transportation operators, and maintenance providers. The system collects and integrates environmental and transportation operations data, collects forecast weather data, initiates road weather and traffic forecasts, generates advisories and warnings, and provides the results to other applications and systems. The model could ultimately become a practical tool for transportation agencies to support traveler advisories, maintenance plans, and operational decisions at both strategic and tactical levels. The purpose of the evaluation is to explore IMRCP operational impacts and usefulness at its deployment site of Kansas City Scout (KC Scout). The evaluation examined whether the speeds and speed forecasts were accurate and whether the traffic and weather information was useful to KC Scout operators. The findings could inform others who may be considering similar deployments and provide the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) with information to help determine next steps for IMRCP.

17. Key Words

Prediction; Road Weather Management Program (RWMP); transportation system management and operations (TSMO); evaluation; weather-responsive traffic management (WRTM); traffic modeling; road condition; weather; road weather; Integrated Modeling for Road Condition Prediction (IMRCP)

18. Distribution Statement

No restrictions.

19. Security Classification (of this report)

Unclassified

20. Security Classification (of this page)

Unclassified

21. No of Pages

82

22. Price

N/A