Office of Operations
21st Century Operations Using 21st Century Technologies

Advancing Transportation Systems Management and Operations Through Scenario Planning

Technical Report Documentation Form

1. Report No.


2. Government Accession No.

3. Recipient's Catalog No.

4. Title and Subtitle

Advancing Transportation Systems Management and Operations through Scenario Planning

5. Report Date

October 2015

6. Performing Organization Code

7. Author(s)

Jocelyn Bauer (Leidos), Katharine Ange (Renaissance Planning Group), Hannah Twaddell (ICF)

8. Performing Organization Report No.

9. Performing Organization Name and Address

11251 Roger Bacon Dr.
Reston, VA 20190

Renaissance Planning Group
1901 North Moore Street, Suite 1204
Arlington, VA 22209

ICF International, Inc.
19300 Lee Highway, Fairfax, VA 22031

10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS)

11. Contract or Grant No.


12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address

United States Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
Washington, DC 20590

13. Type of Report and Period Covered

14. Sponsoring Agency Code


15. Supplementary Notes

COTM: Mr. Wayne Berman, Federal Highway Administration

16. Abstract

The intent of this primer is to inform planners, operators, and other transportation systems management and operations (TSMO) partners on the potential use of scenario planning to advance TSMO. It builds upon the long standing scenario planning guidance that continues to be advanced by FHWA's Office of Planning, Environment, and Realty. The primer includes an explanation of the "why" behind the use of scenario planning in transportation and presents hypothetical examples to prompt thinking about the "when" and the "how" scenario planning might be used for TSMO. This includes discussions about how to apply scenario planning at multiple geographic scales and in support of several TSMO-focused planning activities, such as developing work zone management or statewide freight mobility plans. While this primer does not provide detailed guidance on how to conduct scenario planning for a specific TSMO effort, it does offer a deeper understanding of scenario planning opportunities and a framework that readers can adapt to their specific needs and use as a guiding tool as they embark upon scenario planning to enhance their TSMO planning and programming decisions.

17. Key Words

Transportation systems management and operations, scenario planning, operations, planning, metropolitan, statewide, local, corridor, analysis tools.

18. Distribution Statement

No restrictions.

19. Security Classification (of this report)


20. Security Classification (of this page)


21. No of Pages


22. Price


Form DOT F 1700.7 (8-72)
Reproduction of completed page authorized.

Office of Operations