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Best Practices for Road Weather Management Version 2.0

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Title:

Survival Analysis Based Dynamic Travel Demand Models for Hurricane Evacuation

Abstract:

Two dynamic travel demand models for hurricane evacuation are presented in this paper. The time before evacuation from a pending hurricane was modeled with those that did not evacuate considered as censored observations. Two hazard-based survival analysis models were used to estimate the probability of a household evacuating. Data from Southeast Louisiana collected following Hurricane Andrew were applied. Both models appear capable of modeling dynamic hurricane evacuation travel demand.

Source(s):

85th Transportation Research Board (TRB) Annual Meeting; Louisiana State University, Louisiana Transportation Research Center. For an electronic copy of this resource, please direct your request to WeatherFeedback@dot.gov.

Date: 2006

Author:

Fu, Wilmot

Keywords:


Evacuation
Traffic modeling

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