4.0 Categories of Traffic Analysis Tools
To date, numerous traffic analysis methodologies and tools have been developed by public agencies, research organizations, and consultants. Traffic analysis tools can be grouped into the following categories:
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Sketch-planning tools: Sketch-planning methodologies and tools produce general order-of-magnitude estimates of travel demand and traffic operations in response to transportation improvements. They allow for the evaluation of specific projects or alternatives without conducting an indepth engineering analysis. Such techniques are primarily used to prepare preliminary budgets and proposals, and are not considered to be a substitute for the detailed engineering analysis often needed later in the project implementation process. Sketch-planning approaches are typically the simplest and least costly of the traffic analysis techniques. Sketch-planning tools perform some or all of the functions of other analytical tool types, using simplified analyses techniques and highly aggregated data. However, sketch-planning techniques are usually limited in scope, analytical robustness, and presentation capabilities.
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Travel demand models: Travel demand models have specific analytical capabilities, such as the prediction of travel demand and the consideration of destination choice, mode choice, time-of-day travel choice, and route choice, and the representation of traffic flow in the highway network. These are mathematical models that forecast future travel demand based on current conditions, and future projections of household and employment characteristics. Travel demand models were originally developed to determine the benefits and impact of major highway improvements in metropolitan areas. However, they were not designed to evaluate travel management strategies, such as intelligent transportation systems (ITS)/operational strategies. Travel demand models only have limited capabilities to accurately estimate changes in operational characteristics (such as speed, delay, and queuing) resulting from implementation of ITS/operational strategies. These inadequacies generally occur because of the poor representation of the dynamic nature of traffic in travel demand models.
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Analytical/deterministic tools (HCM-based): Most analytical/deterministic tools implement the procedures of the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM). These tools quickly predict capacity, density, speed, delay, and queuing on a variety of transportation facilities and are validated with field data, laboratory test beds, or small-scale experiments. Analytical/deterministic tools are good for analyzing the performance of isolated or small-scale transportation facilities; however, they are limited in their ability to analyze network or system effects. HCM procedures and their strengths and limitations are discussed in more detail in section 6.1.
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Traffic signal optimization tools: Traffic signal optimization tools are primarily designed to develop optimal signal-phasing and timing plans for isolated signal intersections, arterial streets, or signal networks. This may include capacity calculations; cycle length; splits optimization, including left turns; and coordination/offset plans. Some optimization tools can also be used for optimizing ramp metering rates for freeway ramp control.
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Macroscopic simulation models: Macroscopic simulation models are based on the deterministic relationships of the flow, speed, and density of the traffic stream. The simulation in a macroscopic model takes place on a section-by-section basis rather than by tracking individual vehicles. Macroscopic models have considerably fewer demanding computer requirements than microscopic models. They do not, however, have the ability to analyze transportation improvements in as much detail as the microscopic models.
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Mesoscopic simulation models: Mesoscopic simulation models combine the properties of both microscopic (discussed below) and macroscopic simulation models. As in microscopic models, the mesoscopic models’ unit of traffic flow is the individual vehicle. Their movement, however, follows the approach of the macroscopic models and is governed by the average speed on the travel link. Mesoscopic model travel simulation takes place on an aggregate level and does not consider dynamic speed/volume relationships. As such, mesoscopic models provide less fidelity than the microsimulation tools, but are superior to the typical planning analysis techniques.
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Microscopic simulation models: Microscopic models simulate the movement of individual vehicles based on car-following and lane-changing theories. Typically, vehicles enter a transportation network using a statistical distribution of arrivals (a stochastic process) and are tracked through the network over small time intervals (e.g., 1 second or a fraction of a second). Typically, upon entry, each vehicle is assigned a destination, a vehicle type, and a driver type. Computer time and storage requirements for microscopic models are large, usually limiting the network size and the number of simulation runs that can be completed.
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