Slide 1:

Southern California Association of Governments

Slide 2:

Freight Transportation:
Emerging Issues for Southern California
Alan Bowser
Goods Movement PlanningWorkshop
•Detroit, Michigan
July 10-12, 2001

Slide 3:

The region

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2020 Forecast for Population & Employment Growth
- California’s future in the national and international economy greatly depends on an effective multimodal transportation system
- By 2020, Southern California is projected to add both 7 million people and 4 million new jobs
- The distribution of both the projected population and employment growth will be centered in the Inland Empire of Riverside and San Bernardino Counties and Northern LA County

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Indeed, the region is one of the world’s largest exporters, with $63.7 billion in goods. Export trade roughly brings an additional $21.2 billion in service exports, in banking, insurance tourism, and other services. Southern California has become a favorite destination for domestic and international tourism. An estimated 44.5 million tourists stayed in Southern California and spend $22.3 billion. In Los Angeles County alone, tourism is ranked 3rd as an industry. The
Southern California is defined as Imperial, Kern, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura. Over 80 Percent of tourism occurs in Los Angeles, Orange, and San Diego counties. Approximately, 6.4 million visitors are international tourists.

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“The RTP Balancing Act”
MOBILITY

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Goods Movement System
Purpose is to improve efficiency of all modes (truck, rail freight, marine shipping, and air cargo) and all cargo types (domestic import/export, containerized, break-bulk and bulk).

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Policy Committee
Issue Review and Approvals

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RTP Task Forces. To plan for future growth in the region, the Regional Council initiated various task forces, including Finance, Growth and Aviation
Other Task Forces include Transit, goods movement, Truck Lanes, Maglev, and the RTP Technical Advisory Committee to guide the RTP update process.
In May 1999, the TCC directed staff to work with the task force structure to develop a comprehensive RTP update by April 2001. The region’s current air quality conformity finding will lapse on June 9, 2001.
Transit Corridors, regional transit and Four Corners have completed their RTP Work.
The rest will be completing their work shortly.

Slide 10:

SCAG Committee & Task Force Planning Process
Goods Movement Advisory Committee
Mission: “The Goods Movement Advisory Committee will advise the Regional Council on the conditions prevailing in moving goods in Southern California; on establishing appropriate transportation, infrastructure, air quality and environmentally sound land use policies; and propose programs and priorities to ensure the safe, efficient and economical movement of goods within the region and its competitive advantage in international trade.

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SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process
GMAC (con’t)
... responsible for guiding SCAG in the development of an understanding of the freight transportation issues and needs of the region, and will work interactively with SCAG staff to fulfill its charge. The Committee will meet periodically to review the progress of SCAG work, and may establish sub-committees at its discretion to focus on particular concerns. It will seek to reflect the diverse interests of the region, the public and private needs, and the goals of the Regional Comprehensive Plan and Guide.”

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SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process
GMAC (con’t)
Membership Includes:
- Elected/Appointed Officials - Local Gov’t Staff
- Caltrans - Federal DOT Agencies
- Private Companies - railroads, truckers steamship lines, air cargo operations, package express operators
- Representatives of Seaports, Airports, Environmental Groups, law enforcement agencies, local neighborhood groups consultants

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SCAG Committee & Task Force Goods Movement Planning Process
GMAC (con’t)
OUTCOMES
Advocate Goods Movement System Efficiency:
Higher throughput, bottleneck elimination, greater reliability, reduced congestion and environmental impacts & corresponding economic benefits - region, state, nation.

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By 2020, 6.7 million more people are expected to reside in our six county region. This is an increase of 43.2 percent.
Regional projections suggest that Asians and Latinos are the fastest growing ethnic groups; since, Whites and African Americans will have small population gains or losses. Between 1994 and 2000, Whites will have population loss of 41 thousand persons (-.6 %) and African Americans a small increase of 57 thousand (4.8 %). Asians are anticipated to grow by 241 thousand and Latinos by 1.1 million, which are 15.5 percent and 19 percent gains respectively.
All ethnic groups will have increases in absolute growth within their own group, yet they will grow at different rates. Whites will gain 164 thousand persons, African Americans 276 thousand, Asians 1.3 million , and Latinos 4.98 million. This approximates to 2.4 percent growth for Whites, 23.4 percent for African Americans, 84.8 percent for Asians, and 83.5 percent for Latinos. Ultimately, the ethnic composition of the region will change. In 2020, Latinos will become the largest ethnic group with 49 percent of the population, and Whites will come second with 31.6 percent. From 1994 to 2020, the Asian’s proportion of the population will gain slightly over 3 percent, and African American’s slightly lose over one percent.

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County to County Travel

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SCAG region

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SCAG region ports

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SCAG region ports & airports

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SCAG region ports, airport & freight rail lines

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SCAG region ports, airports, freight rail lines & intermodal facilities

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SCAG region ports, airports, freight rail lines, intermodal facilities & freeways

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SCAG’s Travel Demand Model Improvment
Trip Generation Model
Trip Distribution Model
Mode Choice Model
New Traffic Analysis Zones
Other improvements

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New SCAG Taz's

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Heavy Duty Truck Model
• Developed and incorporated the Heavy Duty Truck Model into SCAG’s new travel demand model.

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1995 daily truck volumes

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2020 truck volumes

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SCAG 1995 & 2020
Freight Mode Share
(Million Tons)

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Goods Movement Issues
•the future demand of goods traffic on the region’s roads, railroads, and airports?
•How do we fund improvements in an efficient and equitable manner?
Options
•Build dedicated truck lanes on I-710, I-15, SR-60
•Evaluate the regional grade crossing system
•Study the costs of converting the truck fleet to alternative fuels; develop incentives
•Promote cargo airports on closed military bases and in the Inland Empire

Slide 29:

equitab Regional Transportation Plan
Performance Indicators
le manner Performance indicators assist in determining optimum transportation solutions by comparing investment alternatives.The nine performance indicators are:
•Mobility
• Accessibility
• Cost-effectiveness
• Reliability
•Air Quality
• Safety
• Customer Satisfaction
• Equity
• Livable Communities

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Container Growth(Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach)

Slide 31:

SCAG Air Cargo Projections

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Major Infrastructure Components
• Alameda Corridor / East
• Orangethorpe Corridor
• Other railway grade crossing improvements
• Exclusive Truck Lanes
• Inter-modal facilities
• Freight throughput productivity enhancement
• Air cargo distribution

Slide 33:

2025 draft plan goods movement projects

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Funding Issues
• Lack of funding for freight throughput enhancement
• Lack of funding for freight movement mitigation
• Difficulty in selecting projects between freight and people movement
• Freight factors
• Traditional funding limitations between truck and rail infrastructure
• Within-the-fence mentality

Slide 35:

Management/Operation Issues
• Encroachment between people and freight movement
• Local ordinances limiting delivery
• Ports - limited operation hours
• Transfer among air, truck, and rail cargo
• Individual bottlenecks
• Empty container issues

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What Lies Ahead?
• Public/Private Partnerships to deliver freight projects
• Explore use of multi-modal performance measure to allow tradeoffs
• Increased reliance on technology i.e. ITS
• Stronger freight movement linkage to public funding allocation